MLB Tuesday: All Roads Lead to Dinger City

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Baseball Tuesday is an exciting day for bettors, thanks to FanDuel’s “Tuesday dinner“promotion, and today promises to be phenomenal for the circuits.

If you are unfamiliarDinger Tuesday lets you bet $25 or more on a player to hit a home run, and whether or not they do, you’ll receive $5 in free bets for every HR success in this game. Example: You bet $25 on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to hit a home run today and he doesn’t, but there are six bombs hit in the Blue Jays-White Sox game. Well, you will get $5 per HR, which will net you $30 in free bets on your original bet.

With the rules of the promotion established, we would like to take advantage of today to highlight our favorite places for tours and our favorite players to hit one.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago White Sox

According to Ballpark Pal, a resource that predicts the impact of weather forecasts on games, we’re set for a huge homerun spike in this Toronto-Chicago game. Chicago’s heat and wind lead to +31% increase expected in HR, and that’s where our hunt for Dinger Tuesday begins. Our focus is on the Toronto side. The Jays have reached the sixth most HRs this year as a team, and White Sox pitcher Dylan Cease has dropped far more bombs than Kevin Gausman.

Our choice : George Springer (+340)

Springer homered against Cease in their last meeting. Springer has hit 11 HR on RHPs this season, and Cease has given up most of his home runs to right-handed hitters.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds

There’s a projected +18% increase in Cincinnati’s HR today, and we like to look to the Dodgers’ late for this promotion. Los Angeles has hit 77 HRs this season, 11th most, and Tyler Mahle has struggled with shots deep on the mound for the Reds this year.

Our choice : Freddie Freeman (+430)

Freeman homered last game and hit .346 against Mahle in 12 plate appearances since 2017, including an HR. 67% of Freeman’s home runs this year have come off RHPs, and Mahle has let left-handed hitters go further than right-handed.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers

We have a +19% increase in CF today based on the weather in Milwaukee. We’re counting on the St. Louis offense to give us the best chance here as Chi Chi Gonzalez gets a start for the Brewers. In just seven innings pitched this season, Gonzalez has given up two HRs.

Our choice : Paul Goldschmidt (+295)

Goldschmidt has four HRs in his last eight games and homered Gonzalez in his 12 PA against him. 13 of his 16 HRs this year have come out of RHP, and we love that the NL MVP favorite is hitting one deep in tonight’s game.


In other news…

The Lightning make it a series – Boy, did we misread game 3! Tampa Bay came out firing and edged Colorado with ease, winning 6-2. Steven Stamkos had a goal and an assist to go with five shots, and Nikita Kucherov had two assists on six shots. It was exactly the game the Lightning needed, and all of a sudden we have a series. Sports betting isn’t entirely convinced, as you can still bet Tampa Bay will win the Stanley Cup at +250. That’s definitely where the value lies, with Game 4 scheduled for Wednesday night in Tampa.

Kyrie Irving and the Brooklyn Nets are potentially heading for a split – The latest reports from Brooklyn suggest that Kyrie Irving and the Nets are at an “impasse” over his future. Irving will explore his options for this upcoming season, with potential landing spots including the Lakers and Knicks. Could Irving reunite with LeBron? The chances of a Lakers title next season are currently +1600. A LeBron-AD-Irving line would be quite the West’s strength.

Brooks Koepka leaves the PGA Tour to join the LIV Golf Series – The migration to the LIV Tour continued, with Brooks Koepka the last high-level domino to fall. Koepka is set to play in the next LIV tournament on June 30, and it will be worth watching for his impact on the world of golf as a whole. The PGA Tour has suspended players who have joined the LIV, and Koepka is sure to be next. We may be biased, but for the LIV Tour to succeed youhere is a need for a wagering item. With nine days until the next event, we will keep our eyes peeled for any potential open market.


Today’s Bark Bets is written by Griffin Carroll

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